My predictions for this weekend’s BAFTA Film Awards

I like the BAFTAs, they’re on at a good time on a Sunday evening in the UK, shown on a free-to-air TV channel without commercials and often well-presented by Stephen Fry. Beyond the awards ceremony itself, the BAFTA nominations are usually a well varied selection of films with a distinct ‘British’ leaning, yet also regularly featuring plaudits for films otherwise overlooked by the Globes or the Academy awards.

This is a good opportunity to warm up the prediction muscles, so I always have a go at seriously guessing what will win on the night, using the same scoring system as I will for the Oscars in a fortnight. Simply, I predict 1st choice of winning, a backup 2nd choice (that film that I think may have an outside chance over the assumed favourite) and indicate with a ‘P’ my personal choice of what I think should win. This is then scored as 2pts for a correct first choice, 1pt for a right second choice, no points are awarded for personal preference films winning as they’re just there out of interest.

Here’s our printable 2017 BAFTA ballot PDF for you to print out or fill in on your device so you can have a go at home and maybe challenge your friends and family as I do.

pdf

So, here are my predictions (and a few thoughts) for the 70th British Academy film awards:

BEST FILM
P. ARRIVAL Dan Levine, Shawn Levy, David Linde, Aaron Ryder
2. I, DANIEL BLAKE Rebecca O’Brien
1. LA LA LAND Fred Berger, Jordan Horowitz, Marc Platt
MANCHESTER BY THE SEA Lauren Beck, Matt Damon, Chris Moore, Kimberly Steward, Kevin J. Walsh
MOONLIGHT Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner, Adele Romanski

OUTSTANDING BRITISH FILM
2. AMERICAN HONEY Andrea Arnold, Lars Knudsen, Pouya Shahbazian, Jay Van Hoy
DENIAL Mick Jackson, Gary Foster, Russ Krasnoff, David Hare
FANTASTIC BEASTS AND WHERE TO FIND THEM David Yates, J.K. Rowling, David Heyman, Steve Kloves, Lionel Wigram
1. I, DANIEL BLAKE Ken Loach, Rebecca O’Brien, Paul Laverty
NOTES ON BLINDNESS Peter Middleton, James Spinney, Mike Brett, Jo-Jo Ellison, Steve Jamison
UNDER THE SHADOW Babak Anvari, Emily Leo, Oliver Roskill, Lucan Toh

OUTSTANDING DEBUT BY A BRITISH WRITER, DIRECTOR OR PRODUCER 
The Girl With All the Gifts: MIKE CAREY (Writer), CAMILLE GATIN (Producer)
The Hard Stop: GEORGE AMPONSAH (Writer/Director/Producer), DIONNE WALKER (Writer/Producer)
1. Notes on Blindness: PETER MIDDLETON (Writer/Director/Producer), JAMES SPINNEY (Writer/Director), JO-JO ELLISON (Producer)
The Pass: JOHN DONNELLY (Writer), BEN A. WILLIAMS (Director)
2. Under the Shadow: BABAK ANVARI (Writer/Director), EMILY LEO, OLIVER ROSKILL, LUCAN TOH (Producers)

FILM NOT IN THE ENGLISH LANGUAGE
DHEEPAN Jacques Audiard, Pascal Caucheteux
JULIETA Pedro Almodóvar
P. MUSTANG Deniz Gamze Ergüven, Charles Gillibert
1. SON OF SAUL László Nemes, Gábor Sipos
2. TONI ERDMANN Maren Ade, Janine Jackowski 

DOCUMENTARY
2. 13th Ava DuVernay
THE BEATLES: EIGHT DAYS A WEEK- THE TOURING YEARS Ron Howard
THE EAGLE HUNTRESS Otto Bell, Stacey Reiss
1. NOTES ON BLINDNESS Peter Middleton, James Spinney
P. WEINER Josh Kriegman, Elyse Steinberg

ANIMATED FILM
FINDING DORY Andrew Stanton
2. KUBO AND THE TWO STRINGS Travis Knight
MOANA Ron Clements, John Musker
1. ZOOTROPOLIS Byron Howard, Rich Moore

DIRECTOR
ARRIVAL Denis Villeneuve
2. I, DANIEL BLAKE Ken Loach
1. LA LA LAND Damien Chazelle
MANCHESTER BY THE SEA Kenneth Lonergan
NOCTURNAL ANIMALS Tom Ford

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
P. HELL OR HIGH WATER Taylor Sheridan
2. I, DANIEL BLAKE Paul Laverty
1. LA LA LAND Damien Chazelle
MANCHESTER BY THE SEA Kenneth Lonergan
MOONLIGHT Barry Jenkins

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
1P. ARRIVAL Eric Heisserer
HACKSAW RIDGE Robert Schenkkan, Andrew Knight
HIDDEN FIGURES Theodore Melfi, Allison Schroeder 
2. LION Luke Davies
NOCTURNAL ANIMALS Tom Ford

LEADING ACTOR
P. ANDREW GARFIELD Hacksaw Ridge
1. CASEY AFFLECK Manchester by the Sea
JAKE GYLLENHAAL Nocturnal Animals
2. RYAN GOSLING La La Land
VIGGO MORTENSEN Captain Fantastic

LEADING ACTRESS
P. AMY ADAMS Arrival
EMILY BLUNT The Girl on the Train
1. EMMA STONE La La Land
2. MERYL STREEP Florence Foster Jenkins
NATALIE PORTMAN Jackie

SUPPORTING ACTOR
AARON TAYLOR-JOHNSON Nocturnal Animals
1. DEV PATEL Lion
HUGH GRANT Florence Foster Jenkins
2P. JEFF BRIDGES Hell or High Water
MAHERSHALA ALI Moonlight

SUPPORTING ACTRESS
HAYLEY SQUIRES I, Daniel Blake
MICHELLE WILLIAMS Manchester by the Sea
2. NAOMIE HARRIS Moonlight
NICOLE KIDMAN Lion
1. VIOLA DAVIS Fences

ORIGINAL MUSIC 
2. ARRIVAL Jóhann Jóhannsson
JACKIE Mica Levi
1P. LA LA LAND Justin Hurwitz
LION Dustin O’Halloran, Hauschka
NOCTURNAL ANIMALS Abel Korzeniowski

CINEMATOGRAPHY
2. ARRIVAL Bradford Young
HELL OR HIGH WATER Giles Nuttgens
1P. LA LA LAND Linus Sandgren
LION Greig Fraser
NOCTURNAL ANIMALS Seamus McGarvey

EDITING
2P. ARRIVAL Joe Walker
HACKSAW RIDGE John Gilbert
1. LA LA LAND Tom Cross
MANCHESTER BY THE SEA Jennifer Lame
NOCTURNAL ANIMALS Joan Sobel

PRODUCTION DESIGN
DOCTOR STRANGE John Bush, Charles Wood
2. FANTASTIC BEASTS AND WHERE TO FIND THEM Stuart Craig, Anna Pinnock
HAIL, CAESAR! Jess Gonchor, Nancy Haigh
1P. LA LA LAND Sandy Reynolds-Wasco, David Wasco
NOCTURNAL ANIMALS Shane Valentino, Meg Everist

COSTUME DESIGN
ALLIED Joanna Johnston
FANTASTIC BEASTS AND WHERE TO FIND THEM Colleen Atwood
FLORENCE FOSTER JENKINS Consolata Boyle
2. JACKIE Madeline Fontaine
1P. LA LA LAND Mary Zophres

MAKE UP & HAIR
2. DOCTOR STRANGE Jeremy Woodhead
1. FLORENCE FOSTER JENKINS J. Roy Helland, Daniel Phillips
P. HACKSAW RIDGE Shane Thomas
NOCTURNAL ANIMALS Donald Mowat, Yolanda Toussieng
ROGUE ONE: A STAR WARS STORY Nominees tbc

SOUND
2. ARRIVAL Claude La Haye, Bernard Gariépy Strobl, Sylvain Bellemare
DEEPWATER HORIZON Mike Prestwood Smith, Dror Mohar, Wylie Stateman, David Wyman
FANTASTIC BEASTS AND WHERE TO FIND THEM Niv Adiri, Glenn Freemantle, Simon Hayes, Andy Nelson, Ian Tapp
HACKSAW RIDGE Peter Grace, Robert Mackenzie, Kevin O’Connell, Andy Wright
1P. LA LA LAND Mildred Iatrou Morgan, Ai-Ling Lee, Steve A. Morrow, Andy Nelson

SPECIAL VISUAL EFFECTS
P. ARRIVAL Louis Morin 
DOCTOR STRANGE Richard Bluff, Stephane Ceretti, Paul Corbould, Jonathan Fawkner
2. FANTASTIC BEASTS AND WHERE TO FIND THEM Tim Burke, Pablo Grillo, Christian Manz, David Watkins
1. THE JUNGLE BOOK Robert Legato, Dan Lemmon, Andrew R. Jones, Adam Valdez
ROGUE ONE: A STAR WARS STORY Neil Corbould, Hal Hickel, Mohen Leo, John Knoll, Nigel Sumner

BRITISH SHORT ANIMATION (Not seen any of these so I can’t fairly predict)
THE ALAN DIMENSION Jac Clinch, Jonathan Harbottle, Millie Marsh
A LOVE STORY Khaled Gad, Anushka Kishani Naanayakkara, Elena Ruscombe-King 
TOUGH Jennifer Zheng

BRITISH SHORT FILM (Not seen any of these so I can’t fairly predict)
CONSUMED Richard John Seymour
HOME Shpat Deda, Afolabi Kuti, Daniel Mulloy, Scott O’Donnell
MOUTH OF HELL Bart Gavigan, Samir Mehanovic, Ailie Smith, Michael Wilson
THE PARTY Farah Abushwesha, Emmet Fleming, Andrea Harkin, Conor MacNeill

RISING STAR (Voted for by the public)
LAIA COSTA As seen in ‘Victoria’, a film shot in one single continuous take.
LUCAS HEDGES Has a lead role in ‘Manchester by the Sea’.
1P. TOM HOLLAND First noticed in ‘The Impossible‘ now best known for being Spiderman in ‘Civil War‘ and beyond.
2. RUTH NEGGA With a lead role in ‘Loving’ she’s set for bigger things than ‘Misfits’ and ‘Marvel’s Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D’.
ANYA TAYLOR-JOY Can currently be seen starring in ‘Split’.

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